Kamuela Kirk vs Magnus Conrado
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record20-8-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'1"
75"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight157 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kamuela KirkMagnus Conrado
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Magnus Conrado52%
Kamuela Kirk 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Magnus Conrado a 52% favorite over Kamuela Kirk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1588), separated by just 1 points.
Kamuela Kirk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Magnus Conrado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kamuela Kirk finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Magnus Conrado 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.