Kamuela Kirk vs Makwan Amirkhani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record20-11-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
75"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Siege MMATeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
Makwan Amirkhani is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Kamuela Kirk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1601
If they lose-14→ 1569
If they win+14→ 1635
If they lose-18→ 1603
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1586 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kamuela KirkMakwan Amirkhani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Makwan Amirkhani60%
Kamuela Kirk 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Makwan Amirkhani a 60% favorite over Kamuela Kirk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Makwan Amirkhani holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1583, a 38-point edge.
Kamuela Kirk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Makwan Amirkhani enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kamuela Kirk finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Makwan Amirkhani 75%.
Kamuela Kirk carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.