Kamuela Kirk vs Pedro Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record5-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
75"Reach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Siege MMATeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1599
If they lose-16→ 1567
If they win+24→ 1609
If they lose-24→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kamuela KirkPedro Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Souza66%
Kamuela Kirk 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Souza a 66% favorite over Kamuela Kirk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1583 vs 1585), separated by just 2 points.
Kamuela Kirk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Pedro Souza enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Kamuela Kirk finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Souza 20%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.