Kanako Murata vs Randa Markos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-3-0Record11-11-1
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'1"Height5'5"
34,0"ReachTBD
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamMichigan Top Team
What's at stake
Kanako Murata is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Randa Markos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+12→ 1666
If they lose-20→ 1634
If they win+20→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1545
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kanako MurataRanda Markos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kanako Murata78%
Randa Markos 22%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Kanako Murata a 78% favorite over Randa Markos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Kanako Murata holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1557, a 97-point edge.
Kanako Murata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kanako Murata finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Randa Markos 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.