Combat Edge Intelligence

Kanako Murata vs Tecia Pennington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-3-0Record15-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'1"Height5'1"
34,0"Reach60″
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kanako MurataNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Tecia PenningtonNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.15
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
57%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.48
53%
Strike defense
62%
3.38
Takedown avg.
0.54
56%
Takedown accuracy
14%
100%
Takedown defense
62%
0.75
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Kanako MurataTecia Pennington
1650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
4 (33%)
Submission
1 (7%)
6 (50%)
Decision
13 (87%)

Combat Edge model read

Tecia Pennington57%
Kanako Murata 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Tecia Pennington a 57% favorite over Kanako Murata in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1658), separated by just 4 points.

Kanako Murata enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kanako Murata finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.