Combat Edge Intelligence

Karim Henniene vs Luan Lacerda

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70"Reach71"
138 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tristar GymTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karim HennieneNow 1654
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630
Luan LacerdaNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.52
TBD
Strike accuracy
44%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.07
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.26
TBD
Takedown accuracy
25%
TBD
Takedown defense
75%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.63

Trajectory

Karim HennieneLuan Lacerda
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (14%)
Submission
11 (85%)
5 (71%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Karim Henniene59%
Luan Lacerda 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Karim Henniene a 59% favorite over Luan Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.

Karim Henniene enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Karim Henniene finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Luan Lacerda 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.