Combat Edge Intelligence

Karine Gevorgyan vs Rachael Ostovich

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-3-0Record4-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'3"
37,0"Reach38,5"
130 lbsWeight125 lbs
Professional Armfighting FederationTeamJesus Is Lord

What's at stake

Karine Gevorgyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Rachael Ostovich carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karine GevorgyanNow 1499
If they win+21→ 1520
If they lose-27→ 1472
Rachael OstovichNow 1456
If they win+18→ 1474
If they lose-14→ 1442

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1510 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.20
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
20%
Strike accuracy
43%
1.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.97
77%
Strike defense
58%
0
Takedown avg.
2.03
0%
Takedown accuracy
83%
0%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0.81

Trajectory

Karine GevorgyanRachael Ostovich
145015002017201820192020

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (100%)
Submission
2 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Karine Gevorgyan56%
Rachael Ostovich 44%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Karine Gevorgyan a 56% favorite over Rachael Ostovich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Karine Gevorgyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1499 to 1456, a 43-point edge.

Rachael Ostovich enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Karine Gevorgyan finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rachael Ostovich 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.