Karl Albrektsson vs Lee Brousseau
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-5-0Record5-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
75.50"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight204 lbs
Pancrase Gym SwedenTeamThe Hit Squad
What's at stake
Karl Albrektsson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Lee Brousseau carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1531
If they lose-26→ 1483
If they win+26→ 1513
If they lose-22→ 1465
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karl AlbrektssonLee Brousseau
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Albrektsson58%
Lee Brousseau 42%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Albrektsson a 58% favorite over Lee Brousseau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Karl Albrektsson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1509 to 1487, a 22-point edge.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Lee Brousseau enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Karl Albrektsson finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Lee Brousseau 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.