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Combat Edge Intelligence

Karl Reed vs Lajos Papp

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Karl Reed
us

Karl Reed

5-2-0Light HeavyweightDWCS

1573Solid

Tale of the tape

5-2-0Record8-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'1"
45,0"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karl ReedNow 1573
If they win+24→ 1597
If they lose-24→ 1549
Lajos PappNow 1575
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1479 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.04
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
39%
Strike defense
Not available
1.06
Takedown avg.
Not available
22%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
53%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Karl ReedLajos Papp
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
6 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (60%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Lajos Papp63%
Karl Reed 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lajos Papp a 63% favorite over Karl Reed in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1573 vs 1575), separated by just 2 points.

Karl Reed finishes 40% of wins inside the distance, Lajos Papp 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.