Combat Edge Intelligence

Karl Roberson vs Kennedy Nzechukwu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-7-0Record14-7-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'5"
74"Reach83"
184 lbsWeight205 lbs
Killer B Combat Sports AcademyTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Kennedy Nzechukwu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Karl Roberson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karl RobersonNow 1607
If they win+19→ 1626
If they lose-13→ 1594
Kennedy NzechukwuNow 1667
If they win+13→ 1680
If they lose-19→ 1648

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
4.96
52%
Strike accuracy
47%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.58
58%
Strike defense
51%
0.72
Takedown avg.
0.50
40%
Takedown accuracy
0%
43%
Takedown defense
80%
0.54
Submission avg.
0.20

Trajectory

Karl RobersonKennedy Nzechukwu
1600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
4 (44%)
Submission
1 (7%)
3 (33%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Kennedy Nzechukwu88%
Karl Roberson 12%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Kennedy Nzechukwu a 88% favorite over Karl Roberson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Kennedy Nzechukwu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1607, a 60-point edge.

Karl Roberson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Karl Roberson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Kennedy Nzechukwu 79%.

Kennedy Nzechukwu carries a 9-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.