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Combat Edge Intelligence

Karl Roberson vs Klidson Abreu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-7-0Record16-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
74"Reach74,0"
184 lbsWeight258 lbs
Killer B Combat Sports AcademyTeamBrazilian TKO· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karl RobersonNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Klidson AbreuNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
2.05
52%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.90
58%
Strike defense
56%
0.72
Takedown avg.
0.64
40%
Takedown accuracy
20%
43%
Takedown defense
80%
0.54
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Karl RobersonKlidson Abreu
1600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
4 (25%)
4 (44%)
Submission
10 (63%)
3 (33%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Klidson Abreu56%
Karl Roberson 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Klidson Abreu a 56% favorite over Karl Roberson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Karl Roberson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Klidson Abreu enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Karl Roberson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Klidson Abreu 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.