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Combat Edge Intelligence

Karl Roberson vs Roland Dunlap

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Roland Dunlap
us

Roland Dunlap

“The Dream”

7-1-0Light HeavyweightPFL

1608Solid

Tale of the tape

9-7-0Record7-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach79"
184 lbsWeight205 lbs
Killer B Combat Sports AcademyTeamRoufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karl RobersonNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Roland DunlapNow 1608
If they win+24→ 1632
If they lose-24→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
52%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
58%
Strike defense
Not available
0.72
Takedown avg.
Not available
40%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
43%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.54
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Karl RobersonRoland Dunlap
1600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
4 (44%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (33%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Karl Roberson54%
Roland Dunlap 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Karl Roberson a 54% favorite over Roland Dunlap in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roland Dunlap's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Karl Roberson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Karl Roberson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Roland Dunlap 57%.

Roland Dunlap carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.