Combat Edge Intelligence

Karl Roberson vs Roman Kopylov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-7-0Record15-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach75"
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
Killer B Combat Sports AcademyTeamRaty Team· 1668 avg Elo · 13 rated

What's at stake

Roman Kopylov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Karl Roberson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karl RobersonNow 1607
If they win+21→ 1628
If they lose-11→ 1596
Roman KopylovNow 1713
If they win+11→ 1724
If they lose-21→ 1692

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1686 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
4.59
52%
Strike accuracy
50%
2.42
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.18
58%
Strike defense
52%
0.72
Takedown avg.
1.14
40%
Takedown accuracy
48%
43%
Takedown defense
89%
0.54
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Karl RobersonRoman Kopylov
1600165017002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
12 (80%)
4 (44%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (33%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Roman Kopylov79%
Karl Roberson 21%Elo baseline: 65%

The Combat Edge model makes Roman Kopylov a 79% favorite over Karl Roberson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).

Roman Kopylov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1713 to 1607, a 106-point edge.

Karl Roberson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Roman Kopylov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Karl Roberson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Roman Kopylov 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.