Karl Williams vs Marcus Buchecha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record5-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79"Reach80"
247 lbsWeight254 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
If they win+24→ 1627
If they lose-24→ 1579
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Karl WilliamsMarcus Buchecha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karl Williams55%
Marcus Buchecha 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Karl Williams a 55% favorite over Marcus Buchecha in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.
Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Karl Williams finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Buchecha 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.