Combat Edge Intelligence

Karl Williams vs Marcus Buchecha

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-6-0Record5-3-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79"Reach80"
247 lbsWeight254 lbs
American Top Team AtlantaTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karl WilliamsNow 1594
If they win+16→ 1610
If they lose-16→ 1578
Marcus BuchechaNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
1.70
49%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.15
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.17
56%
Strike defense
51%
4.20
Takedown avg.
2
49%
Takedown accuracy
17%
100%
Takedown defense
0%
0.20
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Karl WilliamsMarcus Buchecha
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
0 (0%)
Submission
4 (80%)
7 (70%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Karl Williams and Marcus Buchecha within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1594 vs 1593), separated by just 1 points.

Karl Williams enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Karl Williams finishes 30% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Buchecha 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.