Combat Edge Intelligence

Karli Jo Patton vs Rena Kubota

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record15-7-0
BantamweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'3"
-Reach63"
135 lbsWeight108 lbs

What's at stake

Rena Kubota is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Karli Jo Patton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karli Jo PattonNow 1542
If they win+27→ 1569
If they lose-21→ 1521
Rena KubotaNow 1583
If they win+14→ 1597
If they lose-18→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 4 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Karli Jo PattonRena Kubota
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
2 (67%)
Submission
2 (13%)
1 (33%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Rena Kubota54%
Karli Jo Patton 46%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Rena Kubota a 54% favorite over Karli Jo Patton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Rena Kubota holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1583 to 1542, a 41-point edge.

Rena Kubota enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Karli Jo Patton finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Rena Kubota 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.