Karlos Vemola vs Luke Rockhold
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-8-0Record16-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
TBDReach77"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1750
If they lose-12→ 1726
If they win+16→ 1758
If they lose-16→ 1726
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1568 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karlos VemolaLuke Rockhold
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Rockhold52%
Karlos Vemola 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Rockhold a 52% favorite over Karlos Vemola in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1738 vs 1742), separated by just 4 points.
Luke Rockhold enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Karlos Vemola finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Luke Rockhold 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.