Combat Edge Intelligence

Karlos Vemola vs Seth Petruzelli

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Karlos Vemola
cz

Karlos Vemola

“The Terminator”

37-8-0Light HeavyweightOKMMA

1737Good

Tale of the tape

37-8-0Record14-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamThe Jungle MMA

What's at stake

Karlos Vemola is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Seth Petruzelli carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karlos VemolaNow 1737
If they win+7→ 1744
If they lose-17→ 1720
Seth PetruzelliNow 1600
If they win+22→ 1622
If they lose-10→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.67
Sig. strikes / min
2.03
44%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.09
38%
Strike defense
55%
1.93
Takedown avg.
0.46
26%
Takedown accuracy
50%
31%
Takedown defense
48%
1.66
Submission avg.
2.31

Trajectory

Karlos VemolaSeth Petruzelli
160016501700175020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

9 (24%)
KO/TKO
12 (86%)
20 (54%)
Submission
1 (7%)
8 (22%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Karlos Vemola72%
Seth Petruzelli 28%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Karlos Vemola a 72% favorite over Seth Petruzelli in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Karlos Vemola holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1737 to 1600, a 137-point edge.

Seth Petruzelli enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Karlos Vemola finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Seth Petruzelli 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.