Karlos Vémola vs Nkosi Ndebele
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
39-9-0Record14-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionBantamweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75"Reach75"
205 lbsWeight135 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamNova MMA Academy
What's at stake
Karlos Vémola is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nkosi Ndebele carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1742
If they lose-13→ 1718
If they win+17→ 1729
If they lose-15→ 1697
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1605 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Karlos VémolaNkosi Ndebele
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karlos Vémola52%
Nkosi Ndebele 48%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Karlos Vémola a 52% favorite over Nkosi Ndebele in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Karlos Vémola holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1712, a 19-point edge.
Karlos Vémola enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nkosi Ndebele enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Karlos Vémola finishes 77% of wins inside the distance, Nkosi Ndebele 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.