Combat Edge Intelligence

Karo Parisyan vs Nick Diaz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

24-12-0Record26-10-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
169 lbsWeight185 lbs
TBDTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team

What's at stake

Nick Diaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Karo Parisyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karo ParisyanNow 1575
If they win+18→ 1593
If they lose-6→ 1569
Nick DiazNow 1759
If they win+6→ 1765
If they lose-18→ 1741

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1731 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.49
Sig. strikes / min
5.71
41%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.84
58%
Strike defense
60%
5.27
Takedown avg.
1.28
60%
Takedown accuracy
33%
60%
Takedown defense
60%
0.99
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Karo ParisyanNick Diaz
16001650170017502018201920202021

Win method breakdown

3 (13%)
KO/TKO
13 (50%)
11 (46%)
Submission
8 (31%)
10 (42%)
Decision
5 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Nick Diaz83%
Karo Parisyan 17%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Nick Diaz a 83% favorite over Karo Parisyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Nick Diaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1759 to 1575, a 184-point edge.

Karo Parisyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nick Diaz enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Karo Parisyan finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Nick Diaz 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.