Karo Parisyan vs Nick Thompson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-12-0Record38-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
TeamMinnesota Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
Nick Thompson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Karo Parisyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1591
If they lose-9→ 1567
If they win+9→ 1666
If they lose-15→ 1642
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Karo ParisyanNick Thompson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Thompson61%
Karo Parisyan 39%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Thompson a 61% favorite over Karo Parisyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Nick Thompson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1576, a 81-point edge.
Karo Parisyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nick Thompson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Karo Parisyan finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Nick Thompson 84%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.