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Combat Edge Intelligence

Karo Parisyan vs Ryo Chonan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ryo Chonan
jp

Ryo Chonan

“Piranha”

22-13-0WelterweightTTF

1673Good

Tale of the tape

24-12-0Record22-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
169 lbsWeight169 lbs
TeamTribe Tokyo MMA· 1649 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

Ryo Chonan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Karo Parisyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karo ParisyanNow 1576
If they win+15→ 1591
If they lose-9→ 1567
Ryo ChonanNow 1673
If they win+9→ 1682
If they lose-15→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.49
Sig. strikes / min
2.53
41%
Strike accuracy
38%
2.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.48
58%
Strike defense
61%
5.27
Takedown avg.
0.50
60%
Takedown accuracy
50%
60%
Takedown defense
39%
0.99
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Karo ParisyanRyo Chonan
160016502011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

3 (13%)
KO/TKO
8 (36%)
11 (46%)
Submission
1 (5%)
10 (42%)
Decision
13 (59%)

Combat Edge model read

Karo Parisyan51%
Ryo Chonan 49%Elo baseline: 36%

The Combat Edge model makes Karo Parisyan a 51% favorite over Ryo Chonan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryo Chonan's way (36%).

Ryo Chonan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1673 to 1576, a 97-point edge.

Karo Parisyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ryo Chonan enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Karo Parisyan finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Ryo Chonan 41%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.