Karo Parisyan vs Senan Coakley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-12-0Record3-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach-
169 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1588
If they lose-12→ 1564
If they win+24→ 1598
If they lose-24→ 1550
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Karo ParisyanSenan Coakley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Senan Coakley55%
Karo Parisyan 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Senan Coakley a 55% favorite over Karo Parisyan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karo Parisyan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1574), separated by just 2 points.
Karo Parisyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Senan Coakley enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Karo Parisyan finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Senan Coakley 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.