Combat Edge Intelligence

Karol Rosa vs Lara Procopio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record9-2-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Karol Rosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Lara Procopio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karol RosaNow 1647
If they win+11→ 1658
If they lose-13→ 1634
Lara ProcopioNow 1614
If they win+18→ 1632
If they lose-14→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.88
Sig. strikes / min
5.64
56%
Strike accuracy
59%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.50
50%
Strike defense
47%
1.17
Takedown avg.
3.15
48%
Takedown accuracy
47%
70%
Takedown defense
50%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Karol RosaLara Procopio
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (21%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
2 (11%)
Submission
3 (33%)
13 (68%)
Decision
5 (56%)

Combat Edge model read

Karol Rosa60%
Lara Procopio 40%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Karol Rosa a 60% favorite over Lara Procopio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Karol Rosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1614, a 33-point edge.

Lara Procopio enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Karol Rosa finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Lara Procopio 44%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.