Karol Rosa vs Miesha Tate
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record20-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
If they win+12→ 1652
If they lose-12→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karol RosaMiesha Tate
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karol Rosa66%
Miesha Tate 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Karol Rosa a 66% favorite over Miesha Tate in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1640), separated by just 7 points.
Karol Rosa finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Miesha Tate 60%.
Karol Rosa and Miesha Tate share 2 common opponents: Yana Santos and Sara McMann.
Karol Rosa carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.