Karol Rosa vs Yana Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record17-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
67"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1659
If they lose-12→ 1635
If they win+15→ 1676
If they lose-17→ 1644
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karol RosaYana Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karol Rosa52%
Yana Santos 48%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Karol Rosa a 52% favorite over Yana Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yana Santos's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1661), separated by just 14 points.
Yana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Karol Rosa finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Yana Santos 47%.
Karol Rosa and Yana Santos share 1 common opponent: Irene Aldana.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.