Combat Edge Intelligence

Karol Ryšavý vs Kevin Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Souza
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Kevin Souza

“Kevin”

17-7-0FeatherweightSBC

1582Solid

Tale of the tape

15-10-1Record17-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height6'0"
-Reach44.00
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Spartakus Fight Gym· 1654 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamDS Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karol RyšavýNow 1582
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
Kevin SouzaNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Karol RyšavýKevin Souza
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
14 (82%)
6 (40%)
Submission
1 (6%)
2 (13%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Karol Ryšavý53%
Kevin Souza 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Karol Ryšavý a 53% favorite over Kevin Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1582), separated by just 0 points.

Karol Ryšavý finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Souza 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.