Karshyga Dautbek vs Ren Hiramoto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-4-0Record5-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
-Reach70.5"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamGoukikai
What's at stake
Karshyga Dautbek is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ren Hiramoto carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1722
If they lose-21→ 1690
If they win+32→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1571
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Karshyga DautbekRen Hiramoto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Karshyga Dautbek54%
Ren Hiramoto 46%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Karshyga Dautbek a 54% favorite over Ren Hiramoto in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Karshyga Dautbek holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1587, a 124-point edge.
Ren Hiramoto enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Karshyga Dautbek finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Ren Hiramoto 20%.
Karshyga Dautbek and Ren Hiramoto share 3 common opponents: Kyohei Hagiwara, Chihiro Suzuki and Ren Sugiyama.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (3)
WinDecision (Split) · 2025
LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2022