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Combat Edge Intelligence

Karshyga Dautbek vs Timur Valiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

19-4-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
-Reach67"
145 lbsWeight138 lbs
Tiger Muay ThaiTeamDagFighter· 1716 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karshyga DautbekNow 1713
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697
Timur ValievNow 1713
If they win+16→ 1729
If they lose-16→ 1697

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.19
Not available
Strike accuracy
53%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.33
Not available
Strike defense
45%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.73
Not available
Takedown accuracy
27%
Not available
Takedown defense
56%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Karshyga DautbekTimur Valiev
1700175020252026

Win method breakdown

15 (79%)
KO/TKO
5 (25%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (15%)
3 (16%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Timur Valiev72%
Karshyga Dautbek 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Timur Valiev a 72% favorite over Karshyga Dautbek in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Karshyga Dautbek's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1713 vs 1713), separated by just 0 points.

Karshyga Dautbek finishes 84% of wins inside the distance, Timur Valiev 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.