Combat Edge Intelligence

Kasib Murdoch vs Lewis McGrillen

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-0-0Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'6"
65"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Freestyle Fighting Gym· 1735 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamManchester Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kasib MurdochNow 1673
If they win+24→ 1697
If they lose-24→ 1649
Lewis McGrillenNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
TBD
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kasib MurdochLewis McGrillen
1550160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
10 (77%)
2 (25%)
Submission
1 (8%)
1 (13%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kasib Murdoch and Lewis McGrillen within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1676), separated by just 3 points.

Kasib Murdoch enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Kasib Murdoch finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Lewis McGrillen 85%.

Lewis McGrillen carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.