Kasib Murdoch vs Luan Lacerda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record13-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
65"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Freestyle Fighting Gym· 1729 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1677
If they lose-24→ 1629
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kasib MurdochLuan Lacerda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Lacerda56%
Kasib Murdoch 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Lacerda a 56% favorite over Kasib Murdoch in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kasib Murdoch's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1653 vs 1652), separated by just 1 points.
Kasib Murdoch finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Luan Lacerda 85%.
Luan Lacerda carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.