Combat Edge Intelligence

Kasim Aras vs Kazuyuki Fujita

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record18-14-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'9"Height6'0"
70"ReachTBD
250 lbsWeight240 lbs
KKS Sparta AachenTeamTeam Fujita

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kasim ArasNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565
Kazuyuki FujitaNow 1581
If they win+12→ 1593
If they lose-12→ 1569

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Kasim ArasKazuyuki Fujita
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
2 (18%)
Submission
7 (39%)
4 (36%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Kasim Aras66%
Kazuyuki Fujita 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kasim Aras a 66% favorite over Kazuyuki Fujita in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1581), separated by just 0 points.

Kazuyuki Fujita enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kasim Aras finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Kazuyuki Fujita 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.