Combat Edge Intelligence

Kasim Aras vs Marcos Vinicius

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-6-0Record3-4-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'9"HeightTBD
70"ReachTBD
250 lbsWeight225 lbs
KKS Sparta AachenTeamAbsolute Combat

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kasim ArasNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565
Marcos ViniciusNow 1581
If they win+16→ 1597
If they lose-16→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.93
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.91
TBD
Strike defense
47%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
25%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Kasim ArasMarcos Vinicius
155016001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
1 (50%)
2 (18%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (36%)
Decision
1 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Kasim Aras61%
Marcos Vinicius 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kasim Aras a 61% favorite over Marcos Vinicius in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1581), separated by just 0 points.

Marcos Vinicius enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kasim Aras finishes 64% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.