Kasim Aras vs Matt Adams
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-6-0Record6-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach74"
250 lbsWeight263 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1598
If they lose-16→ 1566
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kasim ArasMatt Adams
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Adams59%
Kasim Aras 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Adams a 59% favorite over Kasim Aras in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1584), separated by just 2 points.
Kasim Aras finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Matt Adams 83%.
Matt Adams carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.