Kate Bacik vs Melissa Mullins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69"Reach68"
130 lbsWeight138 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamLions Gym Coventry
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
If they win+16→ 1612
If they lose-16→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kate BacikMelissa Mullins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Melissa Mullins57%
Kate Bacik 43%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Mullins a 57% favorite over Kate Bacik in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1596), separated by just 4 points.
Kate Bacik enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Melissa Mullins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kate Bacik finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Mullins 57%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.