Kate Bacik vs Sarah Kaufman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
69"Reach67.00
130 lbsWeight135 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamZugec Ultimate Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1507 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kate BacikSarah Kaufman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kate Bacik60%
Sarah Kaufman 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kate Bacik a 60% favorite over Sarah Kaufman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Sarah Kaufman's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1608), separated by just 3 points.
Kate Bacik enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kate Bacik finishes 44% of wins inside the distance, Sarah Kaufman 59%.
Kate Bacik carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.