Katsuhisa Fuji vs Samuele Di Guardo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-18-1Record4-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
217 lbsWeight265 lbs
CoreTeamAurora MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 15 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1516
If they lose-24→ 1468
If they win+24→ 1511
If they lose-24→ 1463
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1432 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Katsuhisa FujiSamuele Di Guardo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Samuele Di Guardo55%
Katsuhisa Fuji 45%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Samuele Di Guardo a 55% favorite over Katsuhisa Fuji in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Katsuhisa Fuji's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1492 vs 1487), separated by just 5 points.
Samuele Di Guardo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Katsuhisa Fuji finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Samuele Di Guardo 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.