Katsunori Kikuno vs Kevin Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record17-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach44.00
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KikunoTeamDS Team
What's at stake
Katsunori Kikuno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Kevin Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1668
If they lose-15→ 1644
If they win+29→ 1610
If they lose-19→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Katsunori KikunoKevin Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Katsunori Kikuno52%
Kevin Souza 48%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Katsunori Kikuno a 52% favorite over Kevin Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Katsunori Kikuno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1659 to 1581, a 78-point edge.
Katsunori Kikuno finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Souza 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.