Katsunori Kikuno vs Kevin Souza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-0Record17-7-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReach44.00
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KikunoTeamDS Team
What's at stake
Katsunori Kikuno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Kevin Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1670
If they lose-15→ 1646
If they win+29→ 1611
If they lose-19→ 1563
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Katsunori KikunoKevin Souza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kevin Souza54%
Katsunori Kikuno 46%Elo baseline: 39%
The Combat Edge model makes Kevin Souza a 54% favorite over Katsunori Kikuno in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Katsunori Kikuno's way (39%).
Katsunori Kikuno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1582, a 79-point edge.
Katsunori Kikuno finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Souza 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.