Combat Edge Intelligence

Katsunori Kikuno vs Leonardo Cerboni

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record9-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight151 lbs
Team KikunoTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1657 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Katsunori KikunoNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
Leonardo CerboniNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.64
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
1.88
Takedown avg.
TBD
75%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.84
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Katsunori KikunoLeonardo Cerboni
15501600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (11%)
2 (10%)
Submission
2 (22%)
8 (40%)
Decision
6 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Katsunori Kikuno and Leonardo Cerboni within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1661), separated by just 1 points.

Leonardo Cerboni enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Katsunori Kikuno finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Cerboni 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.