Combat Edge Intelligence

Katsunori Kikuno vs Ollie Sarwa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ollie Sarwa
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Ollie Sarwa

“Sweet and”

9-1-0FeatherweightCWFC

1660Good

Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record9-1-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight139 lbs
Team KikunoTeamForce MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Katsunori KikunoNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
Ollie SarwaNow 1660
If they win+16→ 1676
If they lose-16→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.64
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
62%
Strike defense
TBD
1.88
Takedown avg.
TBD
75%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
77%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.84
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Katsunori KikunoOllie Sarwa
15501600165017002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
2 (10%)
Submission
0 (0%)
8 (40%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Katsunori Kikuno55%
Ollie Sarwa 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Katsunori Kikuno a 55% favorite over Ollie Sarwa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1660), separated by just 0 points.

Katsunori Kikuno finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Ollie Sarwa 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.