Combat Edge Intelligence

Katsunori Kikuno vs Quinn Mulhern

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record18-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team KikunoTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

Quinn Mulhern is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Katsunori Kikuno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Katsunori KikunoNow 1661
If they win+13→ 1674
If they lose-11→ 1650
Quinn MulhernNow 1693
If they win+15→ 1708
If they lose-17→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.64
Sig. strikes / min
1.38
40%
Strike accuracy
22%
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
62%
Strike defense
52%
1.88
Takedown avg.
0
75%
Takedown accuracy
0%
77%
Takedown defense
33%
0.84
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Katsunori KikunoQuinn Mulhern
1650170020122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

10 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (17%)
2 (10%)
Submission
11 (61%)
8 (40%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Quinn Mulhern73%
Katsunori Kikuno 27%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Quinn Mulhern a 73% favorite over Katsunori Kikuno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Quinn Mulhern holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1693 to 1661, a 32-point edge.

Quinn Mulhern enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Katsunori Kikuno finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Quinn Mulhern 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.