Combat Edge Intelligence

Katsunori Kikuno vs Sam Sicilia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record18-11-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
TBDReach67,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KikunoTeamSikjitsu

What's at stake

Katsunori Kikuno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Sam Sicilia carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Katsunori KikunoNow 1661
If they win+9→ 1670
If they lose-15→ 1646
Sam SiciliaNow 1574
If they win+15→ 1589
If they lose-9→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.64
Sig. strikes / min
2.46
40%
Strike accuracy
34%
2.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.55
62%
Strike defense
59%
1.88
Takedown avg.
1.45
75%
Takedown accuracy
43%
77%
Takedown defense
70%
0.84
Submission avg.
0.87

Trajectory

Katsunori KikunoSam Sicilia
155016001650170020142015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

10 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
2 (10%)
Submission
4 (22%)
8 (40%)
Decision
5 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Katsunori Kikuno60%
Sam Sicilia 40%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Katsunori Kikuno a 60% favorite over Sam Sicilia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Katsunori Kikuno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1574, a 87-point edge.

Katsunori Kikuno finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sam Sicilia 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.