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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kauê Fernandes vs Matheus Camilo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"Reach 69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kauê FernandesNow 1659
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Matheus CamiloNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.41
Sig. strikes / min
2.22
50%
Strike accuracy
43%
5.70
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.05
29%
Strike defense
67%
0
Takedown avg.
4.16
Not available
Takedown accuracy
15%
0%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0.59

Trajectory

Kauê FernandesMatheus Camilo
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
2 (18%)
Submission
2 (18%)
3 (27%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Kauê Fernandes and Matheus Camilo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1658), separated by just 1 points.

Matheus Camilo enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Kauê Fernandes finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Matheus Camilo 64%.

Kauê Fernandes carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.