Kauê Fernandes vs Marc Diakiese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
Kauê Fernandes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Marc Diakiese carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1674
If they lose-17→ 1642
If they win+13→ 1644
If they lose-11→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1637 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kauê FernandesMarc Diakiese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marc Diakiese54%
Kauê Fernandes 46%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Marc Diakiese a 54% favorite over Kauê Fernandes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kauê Fernandes's way (46%).
Kauê Fernandes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1659 to 1631, a 28-point edge.
Marc Diakiese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kauê Fernandes finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Marc Diakiese 39%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.