Kauê Fernandes vs Nick Newell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-3-0Record16-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
73"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamFighting Arts Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
If they win+16→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1643
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kauê FernandesNick Newell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kauê Fernandes84%
Nick Newell 16%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kauê Fernandes a 84% favorite over Nick Newell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1659 vs 1659), separated by just 0 points.
Nick Newell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kauê Fernandes finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Nick Newell 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.