Combat Edge Intelligence

Kay Hansen vs Piera Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-6-0Record12-2-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'3"Height5'3"
63"Reach63"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
10th Planet Jiu-Jitsu Buena ParkTeamBlack House MMA

What's at stake

Piera Rodriguez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Kay Hansen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kay HansenNow 1577
If they win+21→ 1598
If they lose-11→ 1566
Piera RodriguezNow 1680
If they win+11→ 1691
If they lose-21→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.01
Sig. strikes / min
3.54
50%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
52%
Strike defense
56%
1.83
Takedown avg.
4.53
23%
Takedown accuracy
55%
38%
Takedown defense
73%
0.78
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kay HansenPiera Rodriguez
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (42%)
4 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (25%)
Decision
7 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

Piera Rodriguez71%
Kay Hansen 29%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Piera Rodriguez a 71% favorite over Kay Hansen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Piera Rodriguez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1680 to 1577, a 103-point edge.

Piera Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Kay Hansen finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Piera Rodriguez 42%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.