Kayck Alencar vs Kevin Gray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record9-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'4"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamPremier Combat Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1528
If they lose-16→ 1496
If they win+16→ 1532
If they lose-16→ 1500
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kayck AlencarKevin Gray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kayck Alencar66%
Kevin Gray 34%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Kayck Alencar a 66% favorite over Kevin Gray in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Gray's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1512 vs 1516), separated by just 4 points.
Kevin Gray enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kayck Alencar finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Gray 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.