Kayck Alencar vs Richie Santiago
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record8-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamBST MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1528
If they lose-16→ 1496
If they win+16→ 1535
If they lose-16→ 1503
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kayck AlencarRichie Santiago
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kayck Alencar62%
Richie Santiago 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Kayck Alencar a 62% favorite over Richie Santiago in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Richie Santiago's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1512 vs 1519), separated by just 7 points.
Richie Santiago enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Kayck Alencar finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Richie Santiago 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.