Combat Edge Intelligence

Kayck Alencar vs Shaun Etchell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record7-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Evolucao ThaiTeamLaunceston Boxing & MMA Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kayck AlencarNow 1512
If they win+16→ 1528
If they lose-16→ 1496
Shaun EtchellNow 1507
If they win+16→ 1523
If they lose-16→ 1491

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0
TBD
Strike defense
100%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.37
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Kayck AlencarShaun Etchell
150015502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
2 (17%)
Submission
2 (29%)
5 (42%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Kayck Alencar64%
Shaun Etchell 36%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Kayck Alencar a 64% favorite over Shaun Etchell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1512 vs 1507), separated by just 5 points.

Shaun Etchell enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Kayck Alencar finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Shaun Etchell 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.