Kayla Harrison vs Ketlen Vieira
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-1-0Record16-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
66″Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
Kayla Harrison is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Ketlen Vieira carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1789
If they lose-21→ 1757
If they win+21→ 1685
If they lose-11→ 1653
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1693 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kayla HarrisonKetlen Vieira
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kayla Harrison70%
Ketlen Vieira 30%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Kayla Harrison a 70% favorite over Ketlen Vieira in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Kayla Harrison holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1778 to 1664, a 114-point edge.
Kayla Harrison enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Kayla Harrison finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Ketlen Vieira 38%.
Kayla Harrison and Ketlen Vieira share 1 common opponent: Holly Holm.
Ketlen Vieira carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.