Kayla Harrison vs Larissa Pacheco
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
19-1-0Record23-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
66″Reach69.00"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top TeamTeamJoao Bastos Team
What's at stake
Kayla Harrison is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Larissa Pacheco carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1791
If they lose-19→ 1759
If they win+14→ 1726
If they lose-10→ 1702
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Kayla HarrisonLarissa Pacheco
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kayla Harrison70%
Larissa Pacheco 30%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Kayla Harrison a 70% favorite over Larissa Pacheco in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Kayla Harrison holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1778 to 1712, a 66-point edge.
Kayla Harrison enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Kayla Harrison finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Larissa Pacheco 83%.
Kayla Harrison and Larissa Pacheco share 2 common opponents: Marina Mokhnatkina and Genah Fabian.
Larissa Pacheco carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2022
Win Decision · 2023
WinGround & Pound · 2021
Win Ground & Pound · 2022